Preseason Rankings
Saint Joseph's
Atlantic 10
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.3#221
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.2#139
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#221
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#226
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 0.9% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.0 11.4 13.0
.500 or above 9.8% 16.4% 4.9%
.500 or above in Conference 16.5% 22.4% 12.0%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.7% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 24.4% 17.7% 29.5%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
First Round0.6% 0.8% 0.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bradley (Home) - 43.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 21 - 61 - 12
Quad 33 - 75 - 18
Quad 45 - 310 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 136   Bradley L 67-69 43%    
  Nov 10, 2019 139   @ Old Dominion L 61-69 25%    
  Nov 13, 2019 73   @ Connecticut L 68-82 11%    
  Nov 16, 2019 109   @ Loyola Chicago L 60-70 18%    
  Nov 21, 2019 7   Florida L 57-77 3%    
  Nov 30, 2019 248   St. Francis (PA) W 77-73 65%    
  Dec 03, 2019 261   Lafayette W 79-74 68%    
  Dec 07, 2019 11   Villanova L 61-77 8%    
  Dec 10, 2019 83   @ Temple L 67-80 13%    
  Dec 19, 2019 246   William & Mary W 78-74 64%    
  Jan 02, 2020 105   @ Richmond L 68-78 19%    
  Jan 05, 2020 60   Dayton L 66-75 22%    
  Jan 08, 2020 126   Duquesne L 74-77 39%    
  Jan 11, 2020 52   @ Davidson L 62-78 9%    
  Jan 15, 2020 86   Rhode Island L 69-76 29%    
  Jan 18, 2020 98   @ Penn L 66-77 18%    
  Jan 21, 2020 28   Virginia Commonwealth L 65-78 15%    
  Jan 25, 2020 190   @ George Washington L 69-73 35%    
  Jan 29, 2020 237   @ Massachusetts L 71-73 44%    
  Feb 01, 2020 141   Saint Louis L 68-69 45%    
  Feb 08, 2020 189   @ La Salle L 71-75 36%    
  Feb 11, 2020 115   St. Bonaventure L 65-69 37%    
  Feb 15, 2020 86   @ Rhode Island L 66-79 15%    
  Feb 18, 2020 52   Davidson L 65-75 20%    
  Feb 22, 2020 151   @ George Mason L 69-76 28%    
  Feb 26, 2020 141   @ Saint Louis L 65-72 27%    
  Feb 29, 2020 233   Fordham W 69-65 62%    
  Mar 04, 2020 115   @ St. Bonaventure L 62-72 21%    
  Mar 07, 2020 189   La Salle W 74-72 56%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.1 2.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.7 0.4 0.0 4.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.6 0.7 0.0 5.4 7th
8th 0.2 1.7 3.6 1.4 0.1 6.8 8th
9th 0.1 1.5 4.1 2.2 0.3 0.0 8.1 9th
10th 0.1 1.4 4.5 3.7 0.5 0.0 10.2 10th
11th 0.1 1.5 5.0 4.6 1.0 0.0 12.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.9 5.3 5.1 1.4 0.1 0.0 14.0 12th
13th 0.5 3.0 6.1 4.6 1.6 0.1 15.9 13th
14th 1.7 4.1 5.0 3.3 1.1 0.1 0.0 15.3 14th
Total 1.7 4.6 8.2 11.4 12.6 13.3 12.3 10.8 8.6 6.3 4.3 2.5 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 89.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0
15-3 53.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 25.1% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 7.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.0% 90.9% 68.2% 22.7% 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 71.4%
16-2 0.1% 38.5% 13.3% 25.2% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 29.0%
15-3 0.2% 49.7% 6.7% 42.9% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 46.1%
14-4 0.4% 13.1% 9.6% 3.5% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 3.8%
13-5 0.9% 10.7% 5.4% 5.3% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 5.6%
12-6 1.8% 4.5% 4.4% 0.1% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7 0.1%
11-7 2.5% 3.4% 2.2% 1.2% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.4 1.2%
10-8 4.3% 0.7% 0.7% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.3
9-9 6.3% 0.5% 0.5% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.3
8-10 8.6% 0.9% 0.9% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.5
7-11 10.8% 0.0% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.8
6-12 12.3% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.2
5-13 13.3% 0.1% 0.1% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.3
4-14 12.6% 0.1% 0.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 12.6
3-15 11.4% 11.4
2-16 8.2% 8.2
1-17 4.6% 4.6
0-18 1.7% 1.7
Total 100% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 99.4 0.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%